Forecasting Case Analysis MGT 3332 The Fresh Detergent Case
Sep 18, 2025
You finally graduated from University with a REMD degree. Out of college, you received employment from a Real Estate development company that purchased …...
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Use Excel to create all solutions and submit an excel document for final project submission. Use the mathematical functions within excel to make all calculations. Partial credit is only possible if functions/equations are used in all calculable cells.
You finally graduated from University with a REMD degree. Out of college, you received employment from a Real Estate development company that purchased a one acre plot of land with the purpose of constructing a strip mall in University City with 4 tenants: a grocery store, a nail salon, a barber shop, and an electronics retail shop.
You are given the task to go through all stages of this property’s development and leasing. The purchase was for $125 per gross square foot. The FAR for this plot is 1 and the leasable to gross area ratio is 60%. You expect the construction to be quick, finalizing in 12 months from Jan 1, 2023 to Dec 31, 2023. Additional assumptions are as follows:
Build a construction phase proforma for the property. Find the ending construction loan balance.
Now that the construction is done, it is time to refinance the construction loan at the end of 2023. You take your proforma to Wells Fargo to refinance your construction loan into a permanent loan. Wells Fargo offers a 30 year, 5% interest rate, 75% LTV loan. There is a permanent loan issuance fee of 1%
After the construction of the UC strip mall, your boss found the 4 tenants: Tenant 1, a Sprout’s, occupies 40% of the leasable square feet. Tenant 2, Fancy Nails, occupies 10%. Tenant 3, Best Cuts, occupies 20% and Tenant 4, a RadioShack, occupies the remaining leasable area.
General vacancy is 10%of total rent revenue split evenly between the tenants. The management team behind this strip mall charges 6% annually on EGI. Your boss wants to sell the property after 5 years. Additional tenant assumptions are as follows:
Capital expenditures estimation is $0.2 per leasable square feet on a monthly basis to keep the building competitive but it is expected to grow 0.2% per month.
The building is depreciated over 39 years. Going out cap rate 2028 is 6% (assume an 8% growth rate of NOI beyond year 2028). The depreciation recapture tax rate is 25% and the capital gains tax rate is 20%.
The ordinary tax rate in this case would be 20%.
Calculate the after tax cash flows to equity holders from 2024 to 2028 including ATER. Calculate the NPV at 8% and the IRR. Should you and your boss take this investment?
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